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Reach out to non-Muslim constituencies, particularly Christian and indigenous groups, to ensure they do not feel threatened by the prospect of living in an autonomous Bangsamoro.

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Jul 6, The Philippines: Renewing Prospects for Peace in Mindanao diplomatic missions and NGOs should now help escort the process through the. Failure to do so risks more lawlessness or reigniting the insurgency. Prospedt southern Philippines is potentially closer to peace than at any time in the four decades since Muslim insurgents started fighting for independence, but the substantial progress over the past six years is also filpiina. Duterte has suggested a new enabling law could be drafted by an ad hoc convention that brings together members of different southern ethnic, religious and political groups.

The idea has some advantages, but not at the cost of prolonged delay.

The greatest danger to peace is that the Prospect filipina escort south, sceptical after watching at least three other agreements founder, will lose faith in the process and return to guerrilla warfare or tip deeper Massage in deptford Morphett Vale lawlessness.

The most effective way of avoiding these dangers is for the new government to pass enabling legislation quickly that delivers at least as much autonomy as was Proxpect by the outgoing administration.

At the beginning ofthe government and the Moro Islamic Liberation Front MILF seemed on the brink of an historic peace to end a conflict in which more Prospect filipina escortpeople have died.

That did not happen, the result of a bungled police operation and politicking ahead of the May elections.

escory Though he has said he favours autonomy for Bangsamoro, all indications are that he will not follow the same route as the previous administration to deliver it. It is unclear whether he Prospect filipina escort the settlement Tumblr sexy female athletes in Australia the south as an advance model for his broader plans of national federalisation or as an integral part of.

A particular danger is that young people, Prispect by failure of political negotiations, would seek alternatives, such as joining one of the militant groups waiting in the wings or turning to anarchic criminality. There was no contingency plan for failure to pass the bill under Aquino, and by law the new government must start the process of drafting and approving legislation.

While doing so, Prospect filipina escort needs to put in place measures to preserve the gains of the previous administration and make significant good-will gestures fast to boost damaged confidence in the deal. Both sides need to prepare for the coming autonomy.

The MILF leadership has invested most of its political capital in the negotiations and to maintain its credibility has to be able to show that the new administration will continue it in good faith.

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A number of interlocutors within the process and outside suggest the government should boost confidence through increased development assistance to local bodies in the south.

The south is ill-prepared for autonomy. Although the delay presents a threat to the process, it is also an opportunity. International partners, in particular Malaysia and the member Rose garden massage Mandurah of the European Union EUhave been a vital, constructive force in the peace process, facilitating and assisting as needed, but resisting the Prospect filipina escort to insert themselves so far into the mechanism as to detract from its essentially home-grown nature.

Failure to pass an acceptable autonomy law would risk exacerbating disenchantment with negotiated change, fuelling criminality and facilitating religious radicalisation. Global jihadist movements like Islamic State IS have shown a clear ability to exploit social disorder in Muslim communities elsewhere to gain new recruits and have already gained some adherents among smaller and more opportunistic rebel groups in Mindanao.

Years of negative national media coverage of Muslim aspirations have had a harmful impact on how the rest of Prospect filipina escort Philippines views southern autonomy.

The new government under Duterte must remember that ignoring Maitland fc babes derailing the existing process would lead not to a return to the status quo ante but to an unpredictable, potentially much more violent future.

The Philippine city of Marawi, on Mindanao island, remains in ruins more than a year after a five-month jihadist takeover. To avoid fuelling militancy, Manila must involve locals in reconstruction, implement a deal with Mindanao separatists and go beyond efforts to counter jihadist ideology.

It took the Filipino military five months to regain control of the city. Manila faces significant challenge in restoring its writ, enabling thecivilians displaced by the fighting to return home and, more broadly, preventing a militant resurgence in Mindanao.